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Atlanta Braves – Under 83 1/2 (-110)
- Take the under. The pitching on this team could border on awful. Javier Vazquez was a nice signing, but he’s not a #1 starter anymore. And aside from Vazquez, there isn’t a strikeout pitcher in the rotation. They’re also relying on a number of injury risks at the closer position (Mike Gonzalez & Rafael Soriano). Offensively, besides Brian McCann & (when healthy) Chipper Jones, there is little pop and this team has absolutely ZERO speed.
NY Yankees – under 95 1/2 (-140)
- I know, I know – they spent a jamillion dollars upgrading their rotation & one position (first base). The bullpen and bench will be the bane for the Yank$. Jorge Posada has a dead arm, Hideki Matsui looks old and the middle defense could border on atrocious (Jeter has no arm, Cano has no range & Gardner/Damon in CF are far from Willie Mays….or even Willy Taveras). The rotation will be good, but you have to worry about Burnett’s health and the fact that Sabathia hasn’t broken down yet.
Minnesota Twins – over 83.5 wins (-115)
- I love their youth, pitching, team speed and defense. Liriano, Baker, and Slowey don’t walk anybody and trust in what could be the 2nd best defense in the league (behind Tampa Bay). There is nobody more automatic as a closer than Joe Nathan. I worry about Joe Mauer’s health, but the rest of the offense has the potential to pick him up, especially if Joe Crede‘s back holds up & Delmon Young finally remembers how to hit for power. This will be a fun & exciting team to watch.
Arizona Diamondbacks – over 86 1/2 (+105)
- My sleeper pick – take the over. The potential of Webb, Haren and Scherzer at the top of rotation borders on criminal – you could see 600 K’s betwen the 3 of them. There’s a minor concern at closer with Chad Qualls, but the bullpen is deep enough to cover him if needed. Offensively, there’s a lot of pop here and Felipe Lopez could return to prominence as the starting 2B and possible leadoff man. there may not be a better young threesome in a lineup than Stephen Drew, Chris Young and Justin Upton. They could win 90 in a weak NL West.
More team totals will come in the next few days leading up to the season.
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